• 2017-2026 China Thermal Coal Market Review and Outlook
  • Date of completion: May , 2022

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SUMMARY

2017-2026 China Thermal Coal Market Review and Outlook produced by Fenwei Digital Information Technology Co., Ltd. will review China thermal coal market in 2017-2021 and make a full forecast for 2022-2026 from the aspects of policies, supply, demand, import & export, prices, inventory, logistics and combined with macro economy, coal industry policies, thermal coal capacity structure and downstream industry features, etc.

INTRODUCTION

2017-2026 China Thermal Coal Market Review and Outlook
China overfulfilled the coal de-capacity tasks during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, accelerating the release of high-quality coal capacity and significantly improving the supply quality. Thermal coal supply and demand stroke a tight balance in the period. While policies on production safety, environmental protection, air pollution control, coal imports, roadway transport shifting to railway were issued frequently, thermal coal prices continued running high. The global spread of COVID-19 and geopolitical instability intensify the restructuring of global energy supply patterns. Since 2020, "increasing production, ensuring supply and stabilizing prices" has become the main theme of China's coal market. Based on China's resource endowments of "rich coal while scarce oil and gas", coal acting as the main energy source will persist for a rather longer time. At the same time, as the Chinese government adheres to the mid- and long-term goal of "carbon peak and carbon neutrality", the energy industry is welcoming a radical adjustment. How to achieve "carbon peak" in the coal downstream industries will be the focus of our research and also the key direction of this report.
2017-2026 China Thermal Coal Market Review and Outlook produced by Fenwei Digital Information Technology Co., Ltd. will review China thermal coal market in 2017-2021 and make a full forecast for 2022-2026 from the aspects of policies, supply, demand, import & export, prices, inventory, logistics and combined with macro economy, coal industry policies, thermal coal capacity structure and downstream industry features, etc.
With rich data, figures and technical parameters in clear analytic logics and conclusions, we expect this report to be a valuable reference for readers who pay much attention on China mid-to-long term thermal coal market.
1.    China Macro Economy Review and Outlook
1.1. 2017-2021 macro economy performance
1.2. 2022-2026 macro economy projection
1.3. Impact on the coal industry
2.    Review of China Coal Industry Policies
2.1. National energy policies
2.1.1. Implementation results of energy policies during the 13th Five-Year Plan period
2.1.2. 2022-2026 energy policy outlook
2.2. Coal industry policies
2.2.1. Supply-side reform policies
    Policy evolvement
    Coal capacity change (closed, newly-added)
    Current capacity structure
    Capacity forecast (2022-2026)
2.2.2. Coal import and export policies
2.3. Safety and environmental protection policies
2.4. Impact from "carbon peak and carbon neutrality" policies
3.    China Thermal Coal Supply Analysis and Forecast
3.1. China total thermal coal supply analysis and forecast
3.2. Thermal coal supply by province
3.3. Thermal coal supply by coal group
3.4. Thermal coal supply forecast
3.4.1.  Thermal coal production forecast
    Capacity utilization of thermal coal mines and influencing factors
    Thermal coal production forecast
3.4.2. China commercial thermal coal supply forecast
4.    China Thermal Coal Demand Analysis and Forecast
4.1. China energy consumption outlook
4.1.1.  Total energy consumption and coal consumption trends
4.1.2.  Development trend of industrial unit energy consumption
4.2. China thermal coal demand analysis and changing trend forecast
4.3. Thermal coal demand analysis and forecast by industry
4.3.1.  Power industry
4.3.2.  Iron & steel industry
4.3.3.  Building materials industry
4.3.4.  Chemical industry
4.3.5.  Heating and other industries
5.    China Thermal Coal Import & Export Analysis and Forecast
5.1. Thermal coal import analysis and forecast
5.1.1. Influencing factors
5.1.2. Thermal coal imports
    By country
    By province
5.1.3. Thermal coal import forecast
5.2. Thermal coal export analysis and forecast
5.2.1. Influencing factors
5.2.2. Thermal coal exports
    Total exports
    By country
5.2.3. Thermal coal export forecast
5.3. Net thermal coal import analysis and forecast
6.    2017-2021 China Thermal Coal Stocks and Logistics Analysis
6.1. Thermal coal inventory analysis
6.1.1. At production places
6.1.2. At transfer ports
6.1.3. At consumption places
6.2. Thermal coal transport modes
6.2.1. Railway
6.2.2. Roadway
6.2.3. Waterway
6.3. Coal transport volumes split by rail/road/waterway
7.    2022-2026 China Thermal Coal Price Forecast
7.1. Analysis of price influencing factors (supply & demand, policies, inflation, alternative energies, etc.)
7.2. Thermal coal price forecast
7.2.1. Price trends at production places, transfer ports and consumption places
7.2.2. Comparison of China domestic and international thermal coal price trends
7.2.3. Q5500 thermal coal price forecast at Qinhuangdao port


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