• 2021 China Coking Coal Market Study and 2022 Outlook

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SUMMARY


Looking back at 2021, the world economy has gradually recovered from the impact of the COVID-19, but the rhythm is differentiated due to different control ability on it. In the starting year of the 14th Five-Year Plan, China is the first economy to get out of the shadow of the pandemic. It realizes stable economic operation in 2021 by actively responding to internal and external challenges.


INTRODUCTION

Driven by economic recovery at home and abroad, steel demand keeps strong and production of crude steel and pig iron hit record highs in the first half of the year. However, under carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals, production reduction measures escalate in the second half of the year, and steel output has seen a significant decline. As new coke capacity is commissioned, coking coal consumption keeps high.

Domestic coking coal supply is greatly restricted by various inspections and important festivals and events, leading to falling operating rate of coal mines and short supply at producing areas. As Australian coal is banned and Mongolian coal clearance has been disrupted by the pandemic,   China's coal imports fall sharply in 2021. So, total coking coal supply maintains tight in a long term. 
Due to tight supply and strong demand, coking coal supply gap persists and the annual average price is significantly moving up.

As approaching the end of 2021, Fenwei is timely releasing “2021 China Coking Coal Market Study and 2022 Outlook”, to review and interpret important policies affecting coking coal market in 2021, and also provide detailed analysis and forecast in 2022 centering on policy environment, demand, production, supply, price, import & export, etc.

The report incorporates abundant data, figures and technical parameters in clear analytic logics and viewpoints, which shall definitely act as a valuable reference for market participants to become versed in the development trend of China's coking coal industry.
The outline of the report is as follows.

1 2021 China Coking Coal Market Overview
2 Macro Economy Review and Outlook
2.1 China's macro-economy in stable recovery
2.2 2021 production of main steel-related industries (auto making, home appliances…)
2.3 Outlook on 2022 macro economy and main steel-related industry development  
3 2021 China Coking Coal Demand Analysis and 2022 Forecast
3.1 Steel industry operation analysis and forecast 
3.1.1 Policy analysis and development trend
 Review of crude steel production reduction policy under carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals
 Impact of dual energy consumption control policy 
3.1.2 2021 pig iron, crude steel and steel products production and 2022 forecast
3.1.3 2021 steel import & export analysis and 2022 forecast
3.1.4 2021 steel price trend and 2022 forecast
3.2 Coking industry operation analysis and forecast 
3.2.1 Policy analysis and development trend
 Coke de-capacity going on 
 Release of new coke capacity being inhibited
 Analysis of impact of environmental policies like dual energy consumption control 
3.2.2 2021 coke capacity and 2022 forecast
3.2.3 2021 coke production and 2022 forecast
3.2.4 2021 coke import & export and 2022 forecast
3.2.5 2021 coke price trend and 2022 forecast
3.3 2021 coking coal consumption and 2022 forecast
4 Coal Industry Policy Analysis and Outlook 
4.1 Coal de-capacity continues in Shandong and other provinces 
4.2 Capacity replacement and capacity expansion going on, but share of coking coal capacity relatively small
4.3 Impact of environmental and safety inspections enhancing
4.4 Coal import policies 
5 2021 China Coking Coal Supply Analysis and 2022 Forecast
5.1 2021 China coking coal capacity distribution and 2022 forecast
5.2 2021 China coking coal supply and 2022 forecast (by province/by coal type)
6 2021 China Coking Coal Import and Export Analysis and 2022 Forecast
6.1 2021 China coking coal import and 2022 Forecast
6.1.1 By source country
6.1.2 By province 
6.1.3 2022 import forecast
6.2 2021 China coking coal export and 2022 forecast
6.2.1 By destination country
6.2.2 2022 export forecast
7 2021 China Coking Coal Supply-demand Balance and 2022 Forecast
7.1 2021 coking coal stock change and 2022 forecast
7.2 2021 coking coal supply-demand balance and 2022 forecast
8 2021 Coking Coal Price Analysis and 2022 Forecast
8.1 2021 domestic coking coal price trend (producing areas, transfer ports and consuming areas) 
8.2 2021 international coking coal price trend
8.3 2022 coking coal price forecast
8.3.1 Price influencing factors
8.3.2 2022 coking coal price forecast 


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