2019 China Coal Cost Study and 2020-2024 Forecast

Cycle of publication: Annual

Date of completion: Jan, 2020

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SUMMARY

Affected by slowing economic growth globally, continued trade disputes and coal consumption curb in response to climate change, coal demand softens in most parts of the world in 2019, bringing in rising downward pressure on coal prices. In contrast, China's stable coal demand growth becomes the bright spot in the global coal market, which has been the hot target market for international coal producers to compete for. With cyclical change in the coal market, market participants are paying more attention to coal cost, highlighting the importance of coal cost study.

Fenwei is timely releasing the study report based on its own mine cost database and extensive field investigations, to analyze main cost influencing factors and forecast the change in 2020-2024, helping our customers get to know the full-process cost from extraction, preparation & washing, transportation to delivery at ports and cost changing trend.

INTRODUCTION

1. 2019 China Coal Cost Analysis

1.1 Cost influencing factor analysis in main producing areas

1.1.1 Impact from the continuous advancement of coal supply-side reforms

1.1.2 Impact from safety and environmental inspections

1.1.3 Changes of labor wages, raw material and energy costs

1.1.4 Changes of sales, management and financial expenses

1.2 Production and washing cost change in main producing areas by coal type with cost curves

1.2.1 Thermal coal

1.2.2 Coking coal

1.2.3 PCI coal

1.2.4 Chemical coal

1.3 Coal transport cost change (typical routes)

1.3.1 Roadway

1.3.2 Railway

1.3.3 Waterway

1.4 Coal port CFR cost analysis with cost curves

1.4.1 Thermal coal

1.4.2 Coking coal

1.4.3 PCI coal

1.4.4 Chemical coal

2. 2020-2024 China Coal Cost Trend Analysis

2.1 Forecast methodology

2.2 Coal cost influencing factor forecast

2.2.1 Policies - supply-side reforms, safety inspections, environmental protection, taxes…

2.2.2 Capacity scale of a single mine

2.2.3 Resources and mining conditions

2.2.4 Labor, raw material and energy costs

2.2.5 Sales, management and financial expenses

2.3 Coal cost forecast in main producing areas (raw coal, cleaned coal) with cost curves

2.3.1 Thermal coal

2.3.2 Coking coal

2.3.3 PCI coal

2.3.4 Chemical coal

2.4 Coal transport cost influencing factor analysis and forecast (typical routes)

2.4.1 Roadway

2.4.2 Railway

2.4.3 Waterway

2.5 Coal port CFR cost forecast with cost curves

2.5.1 Thermal coal

2.5.2 Coking coal

2.5.3 PCI coal

2.5.4 Chemical coal

3. Conclusions

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